1-2" of rain, with areas receiving locally around 3" is possible on Monday. The heaviest rain is expected to fall along and to the southeast of I-44.
The precipitation forecast from this morning until Wednesday morning shows a large area receiving 2" of rain. Southern Missouri and Arkansas could receive 3-4" when all is said and done.
If you live near a low water crossing or river be prepared for flash flooding and eventually river flooding.
Remember to never try to cross a roadway that has water moving across it. It doesn't take much water to move a vehicle! Even if you have a truck, you are powerlessness to the force of water. Flash floods cause more deaths than any other type of weather in the U.S.
The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded a portion of the moderate risk area to a high risk. Long-tracked and violent tornadoes are possible across that area today. There is a moderate risk for severe storms from north central Texas to northeast Kansas. There is a slight risk for severe storms across several states including the central and western half of the Ozarks. Storms will be firing across the moderate risk area this afternoon and will need to be watched as they migrate closer to the Ozarks. Computer models continue to indicate the storm activity holding off from pushing into western MO until early Monday morning.
The cold front triggering the storm development makes a move on us on Monday. There is a slight risk for severe storms. Instability will be limited which means storms won't be as intense as they will be today. Some hail and isolated damaging wind gusts will be possible with the strongest storms that develop.
