SUNDAY OUTLOOK-DISCUSSION BELOW
MONDAY OUTLOOK-DISCUSSION BELOWSEVERE STORM OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY
There is a slight risk for severe storms today if enough heating and lift can occur. Boundaries left behind from morning storms may provide a focal point for afternoon and evening storm development. Early morning convection, however, did stabilize the atmosphere somewhat, which may result in a fairly dry day for us. If a severe storm were to develop it could produce winds in excess of 60 mph and quarter size hail. This evening we'll be watching showers and storms developing across northern Oklahoma and Kansas that might track into the Ozarks during the overnight hours. Some of the storms could be severe and produce very heavy rainfall.
There is a slight risk for severe storms today if enough heating and lift can occur. Boundaries left behind from morning storms may provide a focal point for afternoon and evening storm development. Early morning convection, however, did stabilize the atmosphere somewhat, which may result in a fairly dry day for us. If a severe storm were to develop it could produce winds in excess of 60 mph and quarter size hail. This evening we'll be watching showers and storms developing across northern Oklahoma and Kansas that might track into the Ozarks during the overnight hours. Some of the storms could be severe and produce very heavy rainfall.
SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY
A warm front moves in and transports warm and moist air northward. We could experience two rounds of showers and storms. One in the morning and one in the afternoon. The storms that develop during the afternoon hours along frontal boundary will have to be monitored closely. If enough clearing can occur behind the first round during the afternoon hours, then the chance for severe storms increases. All modes of severe weather will be possible with any severe storm that develops on Monday afternoon. The slight risk might be upgraded to a moderate risk.
A warm front moves in and transports warm and moist air northward. We could experience two rounds of showers and storms. One in the morning and one in the afternoon. The storms that develop during the afternoon hours along frontal boundary will have to be monitored closely. If enough clearing can occur behind the first round during the afternoon hours, then the chance for severe storms increases. All modes of severe weather will be possible with any severe storm that develops on Monday afternoon. The slight risk might be upgraded to a moderate risk.
SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAYThe last round of storms tracks in on Monday night and lingers into Tuesday morning. Same risks on Sunday, apply to this day. The greatest chance for early morning severe storms will be across the northern and northeastern half of the viewing area. The majority of the Ozarks may escape a rain filled day. The weather pattern on Wednesday should switch to a dry one because a trough is forecast to dig across the west which will amplify the ridge across the Midwest. What that means is that the storm track will shift northward and we head up under the ridge! Late in the week we'll be watching a front closely that may put an end to our 2 day stretch of dry weather.
