MSU Storm Chase Class

Monday, June 15, 2009

Flash Flood Watch

A flash flood watch is in effect for all of southwestern Missouri for tonight and early Tuesday.

Thunderstorms over Kansas are congealing into a large mass of heavy rain tonight which will travel along and slightly north of a warm front which stretches over the northern portion of our viewing area. 1-2" of rain could fall in this area with locally heavier totals possible.

Moderate Risk of Severe Expands East

Anyone living north and west of a line from Lamar to Osceola to Warsaw is under a higher threat of severe weather tonight as the Storm Prediction Center shifts the moderate risk region eastward.

Tornadic supercells have been traveling northeast through central Kansas this evening. They will move into the outlined region by about 11:30 tonight. Tornadoes are possible along with damaging winds and hail.
Great overhang on the Ozark County storm tonight. Still showing broad rotation.

Ozark County Storm

This storm has split and the right mover is slowing some signs of rotation. This storm is close to Gainesville.

Severe Weather Discussion 2


An westward-moving boundaty may enhance the severe potential of storms growing in Ozark County and others that develop near this boundary. The Weather Lab is monitoring carefully.

Severe Weather Discussion 1

Radar image at 12:36. Cells have been severe-warned with hail up to 1 1/4" reported. Any storms which follow a boundary such as the warm front or any outflow from morning storms will have to be watched for tornado potential.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch just posted for all of the Missouri portion of the KOLR/KSFX viewing area.

Severe weather update

12:30 PM POSITION OF WARM FRONT ACROSS THE OZARKS

RADAR IMAGE AS OF 12:10PM
TODAY'S SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
TUESDAY'S SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

DISCUSSION

Severe storms are developing along a warm front and are capable of producing quarter size hail. These storms are drifting eastward at about 15-25 mph. The storms will also be capable of producing damaging winds in excess of 60 mph and isolated tornadoes today. A watch will likely be issued any moment now. Severe storms are possible along the warm front today with additional storms developing towards the evening hours to our west and moving eastward during the overnight hours. The slight risk for severe storms on Tuesday has to do with this activity that will still be impacting the Ozarks during the early morning hours. Check back in for further updates as new information becomes available.