The story of the week is the approach of a powerful storm in the upper atmosphere, scheduled to arrive in the Thursday/Friday time frame.
The system is expected to "occlude" which means the most unstable air should stay south of the majority of the Ozarks. This should have the affect of keeping widespread severe thunderstorms either out of our area or possible south of Springfield in extreme southern Missouri or northern Arkansas.
Rainfall seems to be exploding more to our east and southeast as per the HPC rainfall forecast. Computer model forecasts for Springfield specifically are all over, ranging from only around .25" to well over 1.00". It seems as if areas most likely to skew to inches of rain would be areas to the south and southeast of Springfield.
Ted Keller
Senior Meteorologist
KOLR/KSFX-TV
Storm chasing and more at:
Ceaseless Wind
