MSU Storm Chase Class

Sunday, August 16, 2009

SEVERE STORMS AND CLAUDETTE

A front drops south on Monday and triggers strong to severe storms to develop. Northern Arkansas will be spared from this activity until Tuesday, when the front is expected to stall out across southern Missouri. The main threats from the strongest of storms is hail and damaging winds. Locally heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding.
The front will continue to sag south of the Ozarks and link up with tropical storm Claudette which should be a depression by the time it tracks across the Mississippi Valley. The next system to impact the Ozarks after this front is another cold front that will be arriving on Thursday.

3 TROPICAL STORMS FORMED IN THE PAST 2 DAYS



TROPICAL STORM ANA
Ana is forecast to weaken as it tracks across the Dominican Republic and Cuba over the next few days. It will emerge into the Gulf by Friday and will be a tropical depression at that time.



TROPICAL STORM BILL
Bill is a strong tropical storm and will soon become a major hurricane as it tracks northwestward across the Atlantic. Great uncertainty exists as to whether Bill will track towards the SE US or curve out to sea. It all depends on the strength of an approaching trough.



TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE
TD #4 just strengthened into a tropical storm and is forecast to track across the panhandle of Florida and towards SE Missouri. As of now, it appears as though a cold front moving across the Ozarks will keep the tropical circulation south of us.

These forecasts are from the National Hurricane Center and are susceptible to change. Computer models are showing different tracks with all of these tropical systems. There are many variables and a ton of uncertainty. Keep checking in for new updates!