STRONG FRONT ARRIVES ON MONDAY-TUESDAY

A strong cold front approaches the Ozarks on Monday. The image above is the frontal position forecast for Monday morning.

There is a slight risk for severe storms on Monday afternoon and evening across western Missouri. The main risks are damaging winds and hail.

The front is expected to produce heavy rainfall which could lead to flash flooding. The image above shows the amount of rain forecast to fall from now until Tuesday morning. Heavy rain along the front will start impacting our western counties on Monday afternoon and evening and then slowly spread eastward with time. H.P.C. is forecasting 1-2" of rain with locally higher amounts.

Cooler Air on the Way.

The cool front responsible for the storms and rain Monday will move through. Another "cut-off" low in the upper atmosphere is expected to form midweek. This will keep us cool and fairly cloudy post-front. There is a chance for forty-degree lows with this latest shot of cool air.


Ted Keller
Senior Meteorologist
KOLR/KSFX-TV
Storm chasing and more at:
Ceaseless Wind

Severe Storms Monday?

There is a possibility of strong to severe storms on Monday through the central U.S. including the Ozarks.

A cool front is the culprit this time. The front is expected to pass through the Ozarks late Monday. Rainfall amounts could also exceed one inch in many areas late Monday and early Tuesday with this system.


Ted Keller
Senior Meteorologist
KOLR/KSFX-TV
Storm chasing and more at:
Ceaseless Wind

Cool Summer for Much of the U.S.

The Ozarks were not alone in having a cool summer. The states in blue all recorded below normal conditions and the numbers indicate the ranking of the state on its overall coolest summer list. Missouri ended up 12th and Arkansas was 23rd.

A persistent trough of low pressure aloft not only kept a constant supply of cool air flowing south from Canada but also kept clouds in the picture through much of the Great Lakes and New England.

We had ranked cool months in July and August in the Ozarks. A heat wave in late June and a brief burst of hot temperatures in early August are the only signs of summer we had in the region.

Complete NOAA report

Ted Keller
Senior Meteorologist
KOLR/KSFX-TV
Storm chasing and more at:
Ceaseless Wind

Low Pressure Backing Up

A weak and isolated low which was previously thought to be moving eastward by later in the week is now forecast to stall a bit more and probably track westward, passing south of the Ozarks, between now and Saturday.

The upshot of this is to keep rain chances going as long as this feature is close by. The 1-3 day rainfall forecast through Friday from the HPC is included, showing areas of western Arkansas forecast to pick up in excess of 4" as a result of this feature.

In the Ozarks, the rain totals ramp up quickly moving southward. A few inches of rain are conceivable in portions of Arkansas.

Bands of showers rotating around this feature will be capabile of producing locally heavy downpours in isolated sections of Missouri too.

It appears as if a weekend cool front will finally "kick" the rain system out of here at that time.


Ted Keller
Senior Meteorologist
KOLR/KSFX-TV
Storm chasing and more at:
Ceaseless Wind

Wichita Flooding Rains

A cluster of rain and storms dumped on Wichita early this morning and afternoon. Rainfall totals range from about 2″ to as much as 6″ in the northeastern portion of the city.

The included image is radar-estimated rainfall from the radar site at the airport in Wichita (the data “hole” in southwestern Wichita) which estimates as much as 5-6″ of rain fell in the northeastern part of the city shown in red. Ground measurements verify the radar estimate, a few storm reports:

1034 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 ENE DOWNTOWN WICHITA 37.70N 97.29W
09/08/2009 M4.41 INCH SEDGWICK KS MESONET

STORM TOTAL MEASURED SINCE MIDNIGHT…RAIN STILL
FALLING…REPORT COURTESY KSN WEATHERLAB SITE AT WICHITA
STATE UNIVERSITY

0820 AM HEAVY RAIN BEL AIRE 37.76N 97.27W
09/08/2009 M6.00 INCH SEDGWICK KS BROADCAST MEDIA

FROM THE START OF EVENT THROUGH 820 AM. RELAYED THROUGH
KWCH WEATHER.

0933 AM HEAVY RAIN ANDOVER 37.69N 97.14W
09/08/2009 M4.13 INCH BUTLER KS MESONET

RAIN STILL FALLING…REPORT COURTESY OF KSN WEATHERLAB
SITE AT ANDOVER MIDDLE SCHOOL


Ted Keller
Senior Meteorologist
KOLR/KSFX-TV
Storm chasing and more at:
Ceaseless Wind

Flash Flood Watch

A cluster of rain and some storms with locally heavy rain will visit portions of western Missouri this evening and tonight. Several inches of rain could fall locally along the highway 71 corridor tonight.


Ted Keller
Senior Meteorologist
KOLR/KSFX-TV
Storm chasing and more at:
Ceaseless Wind