MSU Storm Chase Class

Friday, August 28, 2009

Cool Snap, Again


The jet stream is digging southward over our heads this weekend, dragging the chilliest air this season down from Canada and helping developing tropical storm "Danny" to stay mostly at sea.

This pattern will give us lows in the fifties for the entire seven day forecast! The coolest point will be Monday when widespread forties are likely in the Ozarks. The record low for Springfield that morning is 48 and we will be quite close.

The weekend will stay much below normal. Highs will stay in the seventies; a pattern which will last through most, if not all, of next week.


Ted Keller
Senior Meteorologist
KOLR/KSFX-TV
Storm chasing and more at:
Ceaseless Wind

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Forties Possible?


The chart pictured shows the temperature output from various computer models for the weekend and early next week. The GFS model is the only one which projects beyond Saturday as of today at least. The 12Z (7 a.m.) and 18Z (1 p.m.) refer to the run times of the model. The GFS is run four times a day.

The lines for two consecutive runs drop into the forties on Monday morning. One run makes it this chilly Tuesday morning as well.


Ted Keller
Senior Meteorologist
KOLR/KSFX-TV
Storm chasing and more at:
Ceaseless Wind

Next Cool Push


It is very possible that at least a portion of the Ozarks will experience forty-degree low temperatures on Monday morning. A strong cool front will drop in Saturday. This will produce yet another string of unseasonably cool days in the Ozarks, lasting into next week.

The most likely area for lows this cold would be northest of Springfield from around Lake of the Ozarks southeastward to Shannon County. The record low for Springfield Monday morning is 48.

Since this will occur on the last day of August, it will alter our average temperature for the month, possibly to a top ten ranking for coolest Augusts on record.


Ted Keller
Senior Meteorologist
KOLR/KSFX-TV
Storm chasing and more at:
Ceaseless Wind

Danny Forms


Tropical storm "Danny" formed quickly today. The fourth named storm of the Atlantic season as winds to 45 mph. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting Danny to become a hurricane sometime early on Saturday off the coast of North Carolina. This will be while the storm is making a turn more to the north. It looks like Danny will follow a more westerly track as compared to Bill. This means the storm will track closer to coastal areas of New England this weekend.


Ted Keller
Senior Meteorologist
KOLR/KSFX-TV
Storm chasing and more at:
Ceaseless Wind

Monday, August 24, 2009

Cool August

24 days into August, we've only recorded six high temperatures in the 90's with none expected through the close of the month. All but four days saw high temperatures below normal. Low temperatures have dropped into the fifties five times so far this month. As of the 23rd, our average temperature is about 75.4 degrees. The coldest August on record had an average temperature of 68.8 in 1915. The tenth coolest was 73.8 in 1904. Using the current temperature projections through the end of August, we would end up around 74.0 degrees.

All of this comes on the heels of a cool July; seventh coolest in Springfield and coolest ever for some areas east of the city.

With the arrival of another front on Friday, the average high will continue to drop this month. This cooler pattern of weather should last well into next week.


Ted Keller
Senior Meteorologist
KOLR/KSFX-TV
Storm chasing and more at:
Ceaseless Wind

Andrew Anniversary


On August 24th, 1992, Hurricane Andrew made a beeline for the southeastern shore of Florida.

Ted Keller
Senior Meteorologist
KOLR/KSFX-TV
Storm chasing and more at:
Ceaseless Wind

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Our Delightful Weekend!

Wow, this weekend won't soon be forgotten! Plenty of sun, warm but not hot, very low humidity and even a breeze on Saturday combined to make our of the last weekends of summer a great one.

Our low temperature Saturday monring was 55 degrees. The record for this date was 50. The high on Saturday only reached 77 degrees officially at the airport.

Sunday started out cool again dropping down to 54 degrees. It looks unlikely we will crack 80 this afternoon once again!

The trend will be for temperatures to continue to slowly climb this week before another cool front ensures our below normal trends continue.

The official Climate Prediction Center forecasts keep us trending cool through early September.


Ted Keller
Senior Meteorologist
KOLR/KSFX-TV
Storm chasing and more at:
Ceaseless Wind